Friday, February 01, 2013

Keynesianism on steroids

It was ERTA that made US economy bleed in 1982

Failure is the pillar of success! Who else can explain it better than Ronald Reagan who, in order to give economic prosperity to his country, threw it deliberately into a recession. In August 1981, he introduced the Economic Recovery Tax Act (ERTA) with a focus on huge personal and corporate tax cuts, reduced government spending and a so-called “balanced budget” (it was projected to have a deficit of $80 billion) to drive away stagflation that had begun to afflict the US economy. His program was based on supply side economics that tax cuts would push consumer spending, thus leading to an increase in investments, which would result in economic growth.

He felt that the revenue, generated due to economic expansion, would be enough to meet the shortfall due to the initial tax cuts. Instead, his program led the US economy into one of its worst depressions. Inflation peaked to a high of 14% and in fact, many critics even characterised the economic policy of Reagan as being “Keynesianism on steroids.” So, to fight with it, the then Fed Chairman Paul Volcker had no option than raising the interest rate. And that was enough to be the death nail. US was suddenly experiencing its worst recession since the Great Depression of 1930s. In fact, by November 1982, unemployment rate in the US had reached 10.8%, the highest since the Great Depression. 17,000 businesses had failed and thousands of Americans had become homeless. US stayed in depression for one year, before Reagan was forced by strong measures from the Federal Reserve Board to pull the nation out of its nightmare. 


Source : IIPM Editorial, 2012.
An Initiative of IIPMMalay Chaudhuri
and Arindam Chaudhuri (Renowned Management Guru and Economist).

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