There are tremendous expectations from the new Kadima Chief; will she be a hawk or a dove?
In an election that may well decide what kind of news will we be reporting from west Asia in days to come, Tzipi Livni, Israel's outgoing Foreign Minister won the election for the head of Kadima Party and has started political manoeuvres to set pieces for the coalition government that she will lead as a Prime Minister. As final results were announced this weekend, Livni narrowly edged out her closest rival, Shaul Mofaz, the hawkish Transport Minister in Olmert’s government, by 431 votes. While Livni polled 43.1% of the popular vote, Mofaz had to contend with 42%. Nearly all the Exit Polls predicting a sweep for Livni proved wide of the mark.
A wafer thin margin is only first of several problems that Livni confronts. Her party, Kadima, has merely 29 seats in the 120-seat Knesset and in all probability, will need support from Labour Party that has 19 seats as well as other marginal parties, including the ultra-orthodox Shas, and the left-wing Meretz. Needless to say, even by the standards of the bedlam that Israel’s internal politics is, it will be a tough deal for Livni, whose own allegiance & ideology has changed several times during her brief career as a politician.
“It is a rather complex game for her,” says Reuven Pedhatzur, Political Analyst. “Each party will try to extract their pound of flesh for their support. It will particularly be interesting to see the role of Shas.” On the peace front, things will not be any easier for her. She shall have to deal with the thorny question of the status of East Jerusalem and a road map for the creation of a separate state for Palestinians – both anathema for Shas.
In an election that may well decide what kind of news will we be reporting from west Asia in days to come, Tzipi Livni, Israel's outgoing Foreign Minister won the election for the head of Kadima Party and has started political manoeuvres to set pieces for the coalition government that she will lead as a Prime Minister. As final results were announced this weekend, Livni narrowly edged out her closest rival, Shaul Mofaz, the hawkish Transport Minister in Olmert’s government, by 431 votes. While Livni polled 43.1% of the popular vote, Mofaz had to contend with 42%. Nearly all the Exit Polls predicting a sweep for Livni proved wide of the mark.
A wafer thin margin is only first of several problems that Livni confronts. Her party, Kadima, has merely 29 seats in the 120-seat Knesset and in all probability, will need support from Labour Party that has 19 seats as well as other marginal parties, including the ultra-orthodox Shas, and the left-wing Meretz. Needless to say, even by the standards of the bedlam that Israel’s internal politics is, it will be a tough deal for Livni, whose own allegiance & ideology has changed several times during her brief career as a politician.
“It is a rather complex game for her,” says Reuven Pedhatzur, Political Analyst. “Each party will try to extract their pound of flesh for their support. It will particularly be interesting to see the role of Shas.” On the peace front, things will not be any easier for her. She shall have to deal with the thorny question of the status of East Jerusalem and a road map for the creation of a separate state for Palestinians – both anathema for Shas.
Source : IIPM Editorial, 2012.
An Initiative of IIPM, Malay Chaudhuri
and Arindam Chaudhuri (Renowned Management Guru and Economist).
and Arindam Chaudhuri (Renowned Management Guru and Economist).
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